Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Betting Tips 04/03/2025
City
Forest
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Manchester City arrive at the Etihad in commanding form, recording six consecutive victories across all competitions, including four successive Premier League wins. Second in the table with 59 points, City have won five of their last six home encounters with Nottingham Forest in all competitions, conceding just once across those fixtures — a remarkable defensive record against this particular opponent. Nottingham Forest sit 17th on 27 points and have lost four of their last six competitive matches, including back-to-back defeats to Liverpool and Brighton in their most recent Premier League outings. Their away record this season is distinctly poor, averaging just 0.93 goals per match on the road compared to City’s 2.43 at home. With Forest’s attack failing to score in 79% of their away Premier League matches this season and City yet to concede more than one goal at home in their last five home league matches, the hosts’ credentials as heavy favourites are fully justified by the data. At 4/9 with Paddy Power, City are short but the case is compelling.
Nottingham Forest have failed to score in 79% of their away Premier League matches this season, averaging just 0.93 goals per game on the road. Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home fixtures, and in the last five meetings between these sides at the Etihad, Forest have been shut out on four occasions. With Chris Wood confirmed out and Forest badly depleted in attack, the visitors finding the net here looks unlikely.
Manchester City have scored in 100% of their matches this season and have produced over 2.5 goals in 64% of home Premier League fixtures. Over 2.5 goals has landed in three of the last eight H2H meetings, and with City averaging 2.43 goals per home game compared to Forest conceding 1.57 per away match, a high-scoring home win is the most likely outcome. City have been winning at half-time and full-time in their last three league matches, pointing to a multi-goal evening at the Etihad.
Semenyo has scored four Premier League goals from just seven appearances at Manchester City this season — a remarkable strike rate. The boosted 11/2 represents outstanding value for a player who has demonstrated a habit of scoring in home matches and carries a real threat when cutting in from wide positions. Nottingham Forest’s defensive record away from home is among the worst in the league, having conceded 41 Premier League goals this season.
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Oldest result left → Most recent right
Oldest result left → Most recent right
All figures: Premier League 2025/26 at Manchester City
- Finishing
- Long shots
- Aerial duels
- Dribbling
- Offside awareness
- Holding on to the ball
- Crossing
All figures: Premier League 2025/26
- Key passes
- No significant weaknesses noted
Style: Likes to do layoffs · Likes to play long balls · Does not dive into tackles
2025/26
2025/26
Manchester City have scored 18 goals and conceded 3 in the last 8 meetings with Nottingham Forest across all competitions.
Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in five of their last six home matches against Nottingham Forest in all competitions, and nothing in the available data suggests tonight will be different. City’s six-match winning run, superior squad quality and commanding home record make them clear favourites, while Forest’s struggles on the road — scoring in just 21% of away Premier League fixtures — point strongly towards a shutout for the hosts. With Erling Haaland potentially returning and Omar Marmoush or Antoine Semenyo on hand to lead the attack, three goals for City against a side that has conceded 41 Premier League goals this season is a very achievable outcome.
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