Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips 05/03/2025
Hotspur
Palace
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(Draw or Palace Win)
Tottenham arrive at this fixture in truly alarming form, ten Premier League matches without a victory — a run that equals the joint-worst in the club’s top-flight history — and new manager Igor Tudor is yet to take a single point from his two games in charge, having suffered defeat at Fulham in his most recent outing. Spurs have conceded at least two goals in each of their last eight Premier League matches, underlining a defensive fragility that shows no sign of abating, while their home points-per-game return of just 0.71 this season is among the worst in the top flight. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, sit four points above Tottenham in the table with nine wins to their credit, and travel with confidence boosted by back-to-back Conference League victories. The Eagles defeated Spurs 2-0 at this very stadium last May and, even shorn of the suspended Lacroix, carry sufficient quality and organisation to avoid defeat here. Backing Crystal Palace’s Double Chance — a win or draw — is comfortably the most compelling selection on show.
Top Tip by Adrian Dane
Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in seven of Tottenham’s last eight Premier League home games, with data showing 64% of their home fixtures surpassing this threshold. Crystal Palace have shown a willingness to attack and shoot frequently (11.8 shots per game in the league), and Spurs’ continued defensive collapse makes multiple goals almost inevitable.
BTTS has landed in 71% of Tottenham’s home Premier League matches this season, and Crystal Palace have found the net in the vast majority of their recent away outings. With Spurs needing to attack and Palace possessing the threat of Sarr, Eze and Strand Larsen, goals for both sides appear highly likely.
Tottenham’s home defensive record is extraordinarily poor — conceding multiple times in eight consecutive league outings — while Spurs’ attack must open up to search for a result given their precarious league position. Combined with Crystal Palace’s direct, shot-heavy style, the conditions for a four-goal thriller are firmly in place, making over 3.5 an enticing longer-odds selection.
⚠ 10 Premier League games without a win — joint-worst run in club history. Manager Igor Tudor yet to take a point.
Most recent defeat (Man Utd) was heavily influenced by Lacroix’s controversial red card. The Eagles remain in decent shape overall.
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All stats: 2025/26 Premier League season
All stats: 2025/26 Premier League season
Richarlison is Tottenham’s top scorer in the Premier League this season with eight goals to his name, demonstrating that even within a deeply struggling collective, the Brazilian remains a genuine threat in the opposition’s penalty area. His physicality and tendency to draw fouls in and around the box generate opportunities from dead-ball situations, while his direct running and movement mean he will always be involved when Spurs press for a result they so desperately need. He scored against Crystal Palace on 28 December 2025 and, with Palace now without the suspended Maxence Lacroix at the back, there may well be space to exploit. Tottenham’s need for a result means Richarlison should be central to everything they do going forward.
Ismaïla Sarr has contributed one Premier League goal and two assists this season from a creative wide or central attacking role, but his overall influence and ability to create moments of quality make him considerably more dangerous than his goal return alone suggests. Tottenham’s defensive weaknesses against technically accomplished players — rated “Very Weak” in their own characteristics data — play directly into Sarr’s strengths, as he is noted for his finishing and the regularity with which he wins fouls in advanced positions. The Senegal international produced a remarkable League Cup rating of 8.49 this season, confirming his quality on his day, and on a surface at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium where Palace will be looking to expose space on the counter, Sarr at 10/3 represents genuine each-way appeal in the anytime goalscorer market.
* Goalscorer odds are indicative. Please verify with your bookmaker before placing any bet. 18+ · Gamble Responsibly.
All-time record across 27 meetings. Tottenham have scored 38 goals; Crystal Palace 17.
Crystal Palace ended nine consecutive Premier League defeats at Tottenham’s ground with their 2-0 win last May — a result that speaks volumes about the shift in momentum between these clubs.
⚠ None of Tottenham’s eight injured players are expected back until at least next month. An extraordinary injury toll.
⚠ Lacroix’s suspension sees Chadi Riad likely to step into the back three. Mateta’s absence (doubtful) means Strand Larsen is expected to lead the line.
The numbers tell a brutal story for Tottenham. Ten Premier League games without a win, a defence that has shipped goals in eight consecutive outings, and an injury list that reads like a casualty report from a warzone — Igor Tudor has inherited a club in genuine turmoil. Crystal Palace arrive as the superior team on current evidence. They sit above their hosts in the table with four more points, are better organised defensively, and possess the pace and quality in Sarr and Eze to hurt Spurs on the counter-attack. Even without the suspended Lacroix, Palace have the structure to absorb pressure and punish a Tottenham side that is vulnerable in behind. We expect a competitive and open match with goals at both ends, but back Palace to edge a vital away win.
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