Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Preview

Brighton host Liverpool at the Amex Stadium in what promises to be one of the more intriguing Premier League fixtures of the March international break run-in. Fabian Hurzeler’s side have enjoyed a genuine upturn in domestic form, whilst Arne Slot’s Liverpool find themselves stuttering at precisely the wrong moment in the season. With European qualification implications on one side and a welcome upset on the other, this fixture has all the ingredients for a memorable afternoon on the south coast.

Form & Statistics

Brighton enter this fixture in impressive domestic form, sitting 12th in the Premier League table with 40 points from 30 matches. Their record reads nine wins, ten draws and ten defeats, with 39 goals scored and 36 conceded. The Seagulls have been particularly strong at the Amex of late, with their 1-0 victory over Sunderland on 14 March marking their third win in four league games. Their attacking output averages 13.2 shots per game, underpinned by a WhoScored rating of 6.65, whilst they maintain 53.4% possession and complete 84.3% of their passes.

Liverpool occupy fifth place with 49 points from 30 games, recording 14 wins, seven draws and seven defeats. The Reds have been prolific going forward with 47 goals, though they have conceded 34 and carry a goal difference of +9. Their underlying statistics are broadly superior across the board, averaging 16.3 shots per game with a 6.72 WhoScored rating, 59.1% possession and 86.2% pass completion. However, Slot’s side have looked distinctly vulnerable on their travels, and a 1-1 draw at Tottenham on 15 March did little to dispel those concerns. Their away record invites genuine optimism for the hosts.

Team Comparison

Recent Form

Head-to-Head

Liverpool’s dominance is evident across the full 30-match sample, but Brighton’s record at the Amex tells a more encouraging story. The Seagulls have won two of the last three meetings at home, including a 3-2 victory in March 2025 and a 2-1 win on 1 March 2026. Those results demonstrate that, whatever Liverpool’s pedigree, Brighton are far from a pushover on their own patch.

Tactical Outlook

Fabian Hurzeler has settled on a 4-2-3-1 system that suits his squad’s profile well. Danny Welbeck leads the line with ten league goals and brings a physical presence that Liverpool’s centre-backs can struggle with aerially. Behind him, the attacking midfield trio of Yankuba Minteh, Jack Hinshelwood and Diego Gomez offer pace, creativity and industry in equal measure. The double pivot of Pascal Gross and James Milner provides the structural discipline that underpins Brighton’s recent improvement. Lewis Dunk and Jan Paul van Hecke, who carries the side’s best WhoScored rating at 7.00 from 25 appearances, form a well-organised central defensive partnership.

Liverpool are likely to mirror that 4-2-3-1 shape, with their attacking threat centred on Hugo Ekitiké, who leads the Reds’ scoring charts with 11 goals and four assists. Florian Wirtz and Dominik Szoboszlai provide the creative spark either side of him, whilst Mohamed Salah’s delivery from the right remains one of the most consistent offensive weapons in the division. The principal concern for Slot is whether his back four, with Joe Gomez carrying a question mark over his fitness, can withstand Brighton’s direct approach and set-piece threat.

Key Stats to Watch

• Brighton average 1.3 goals scored per home game and concede 1.2 at the Amex
• Liverpool average 1.57 goals per away game with 1.13 conceded on their travels
• Brighton’s home possession sits at 53.4% against Liverpool’s away average of 59.1%
• Liverpool have conceded in five of their last six away matches
• Brighton have kept clean sheets in just five of their 30 league games this season
• Liverpool have drawn seven of their 30 league matches, suggesting a vulnerability to dropping points
• Welbeck’s aerial threat is a genuine concern for Liverpool’s centre-backs, who average just 14.8 aerials won per game

Predicted Line-Ups

The following line-ups are sourced from RotoWire’s predicted lineup data for this fixture.

Prediction