Who Will Win the Premier League
Who Will Win the Premier League This Season?
Every August, the same question returns to kitchen tables, pub corners and press rooms: Who will win the Premier League this season? The 2025-26 campaign brings a fresh cast of signings and a new balance of power after a busy summer. Liverpool begin as defending champions with Arsenal and Manchester City close behind, while Chelsea believe momentum and recruitment can close the gap. Aston Villa and Newcastle carry European ambition, and a cluster of upwardly mobile sides want a seat at the top table.
In discussions about who will win the Premier League, many fans point to Liverpool’s recent form and stability.
As the season unfolds, the question of who will win the Premier League becomes more pressing, with every match impacting the title race.
In a fiercely contested battle, the Premier League title race is intensifying. Liverpool, with a defined playing style and strengthened attack, appear to be the frontrunners. Arsenal, bolstered by a clinical striker and improved midfield depth, are also in contention. Manchester City, possessing a robust squad, continue to be a formidable force in the competition. Chelsea, a team with talent and upward trajectory, need to translate potential into consistent performances. The upcoming months will likely see fitness levels become crucial in determining the ultimate victor, rather than early-season form. If you are planning your weekend football viewing, stay informed about the TV channels broadcasting the matches.
This long-form preview blends form, recruitment and tactical context to judge where the title, the top four and the drop may be decided. It also covers common search topics such as Premier League winner odds, title race predictions, top four race, dark horses and relegation battle. If you are planning your viewing, here is a quick internal link: Want to know what channel football is on today.
Ins and outs below reflect confirmed 2025 summer deals at the time of writing. Fees listed where widely reported.
Expert opinions vary on who will win the Premier League, but analysts suggest Liverpool’s depth could be decisive.
Premier League title odds snapshot
Fans often debate who will win the Premier League, considering factors like player injuries and team form.
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 9/5 |
| Arsenal | 5/2 |
| Man City | 7/2 |
| Chelsea | 10/1 |
| Man Utd | 28/1 |
| Newcastle | 55/1 |
| Tottenham | 55/1 |
| Aston Villa | 100/1 |
| Brighton | 250/1 |
| Nottingham Forest | 400/1 |
| Everton | 500/1 |
| Bournemouth | 750/1 |
| Crystal Palace | 750/1 |
| Leeds | 1000/1 |
| Fulham | 1000/1 |
| Wolverhampton | 1000/1 |
| Brentford | 1000/1 |
| West Ham | 1000/1 |
| Sunderland | 2000/1 |
| Burnley | 2000/1 |
Title race snapshot
Liverpool’s control last spring set the tone, but there is little appetite across the league to watch a repeat. Arsenal finally have a focal striker. City are healthier in midfield and at left back. Chelsea are much younger but deeper. That quartet looks the likeliest top four, yet recent seasons have shown how quickly injuries and fixture congestion can tilt the table. The champion will come from the side that marries availability with a clear plan in both boxes.
Liverpool
Outlook. Champions in 2024-25, Liverpool keep the core intensity under Arne Slot but add more incision in the final third.
Key arrivals
- Florian Wirtz (Bayer Leverkusen)
- Hugo Ekitike (Eintracht Frankfurt)
- Jeremie Frimpong (Bayer Leverkusen)
- Milos Kerkez (Bournemouth)
- Freddie Woodman (Preston) free
Key departures
- Luis Diaz (Bayern Munich)
- Jarell Quansah (Bayer Leverkusen)
- Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)
- Caoimhin Kelleher (Brentford)
Why they can win it. Creativity from Wirtz, width from Frimpong and better depth at full back. The pressing metrics remain elite and set plays are strong. If the new pieces gel quickly, they set the early pace.
Arsenal
Outlook. Three straight second-place finishes taught Arsenal consistency. The missing piece was a penalty-box striker. That gap is now addressed.
Key arrivals
- Viktor Gyokeres (Sporting)
- Martin Zubimendi (Real Sociedad)
- Noni Madueke (Chelsea)
- Cristhian Mosquera (Valencia)
- Christian Norgaard (Brentford)
- Kepa Arrizabalaga (Chelsea)
Key departures
- Thomas Partey (Villarreal) free
- Jorginho (Flamengo) free
- Kieran Tierney (Celtic) free
- Nuno Tavares (Lazio)
- Marquinhos (Cruzeiro)
Why they can win it. Gyokeres raises shot volume in prime areas. Zubimendi improves build-up and screening. The defensive block is already top level. A small rise in conversion could flip second into first.
Manchester City
Outlook. City’s wobble last autumn traced back to midfield availability. Recruitment targets that weakness and restores balance.
Key arrivals
- Tijjani Reijnders (AC Milan)
- Rayan Cherki (Lyon)
- Rayan Ait-Nouri (Wolves)
- James Trafford (Burnley)
- Sverre Nypan (Rosenborg)
Key departures
- Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) free
- Yan Couto (Borussia Dortmund)
- Maximo Perrone (Como)
- Kyle Walker (Burnley)
Why they can win it. Control returns with Reijnders next to Rodri. Ait-Nouri is a natural left-sided outlet. Haaland remains the most decisive finisher in the league.
Chelsea
Outlook. Enzo Maresca’s group is young and deeper. Club World Cup success feeds belief. The roster is built for a steady climb.
Key arrivals
- Joao Pedro (Brighton)
- Jamie Gittens (Borussia Dortmund)
- Jorrel Hato (Ajax)
- Liam Delap (Ipswich)
- Estevao Willian (Palmeiras)
- Dario Essugo (Sporting)
- Kendry Paez (Independiente del Valle)
- Mike Penders (Genk)
- Mamadou Sarr (Strasbourg)
Key departures
- Noni Madueke (Arsenal)
- Djordje Petrovic (Bournemouth)
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton)
- Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)
- Armando Broja (Burnley)
- Bashir Humphreys (Burnley)
- Kepa Arrizabalaga (Arsenal)
Why they can win it. Title is ambitious, but a consistent top-four challenge is within reach if Pedro leads the line and the centre-backs mature quickly.
Aston Villa
Outlook. Emery’s structure travels well and the squad remains compact and competitive.
Key arrivals
- Evann Guessand (Nice)
- Yasin Ozcan (Kasimpasa)
- Marco Bizot (Brest)
- Zepiqueno Redmond (Feyenoord)
Key departures
- Robin Olsen (Malmo)
- Philippe Coutinho (Vasco da Gama)
- Louie Barry (Sheffield United) loan
Why they matter. Defensive control at home and a clear plan on set pieces keep them in the European chase.
Throughout the season, many will speculate who will win the Premier League based on tactical changes and player performances.
As we approach the climax of the season, the question of who will win the Premier League will dominate discussions in pubs and homes alike.
Many analysts are eager to answer who will win the Premier League, citing Liverpool’s strong start as a significant factor.
Newcastle United
Outlook. A European schedule demands depth and cleaner availability than last year.
Key arrivals
- Anthony Elanga (Nottingham Forest)
- Park Seung-soo (Suwon Bluewings)
- Antonio Cordero (Malaga) free
- Aaron Ramsdale (Southampton) loan
Key departures
- Lloyd Kelly (Juventus)
- Sean Longstaff (Leeds)
- Martin Dubravka (Burnley)
- Callum Wilson (West Ham) free
Latest on Isak. Eddie Howe has confirmed that Alexander Isak is not able to rejoin first-team training at present and is set to miss the opener at Aston Villa, though Howe stressed the striker still has a future at the club. Newcastle turned down an initial bid from Liverpool worth £110 million plus add-ons.
Why they matter. Athletic in transition, strong at set plays and difficult to press at St James’ Park. If Elanga’s speed pairs with Isak later in the month, they can push for the top six.
Crystal Palace
Outlook. The FA Cup win raised standards. The team shape is clear and Selhurst is a problem for visitors.
Key arrivals
- Borna Sosa (Ajax)
- Walter Benitez (PSV) free
Key departures
- Jeffrey Schlupp (Norwich) free
- Rob Holding (Colorado Rapids) free
- Joel Ward released
Why they matter. Better chance creation and an aggressive press keep them in the European conversation.
As fans speculate on who will win the Premier League, rivalries intensify, and every match has critical implications.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Outlook. A familiar reset with smart buys and one big sale.
Key arrivals
- Charalampos Kostoulas (Olympiacos)
- Maxim De Cuyper (Club Brugge)
- Tom Watson (Sunderland)
- Diego Coppola (Verona)
- Yoon Do-young (Daejeon)
- Olivier Boscagli (PSV) free
Key departures
- Joao Pedro (Chelsea)
- Simon Adingra (Sunderland)
- Pervis Estupinan (AC Milan)
Why they matter. Recruitment remains sharp and the playing model is stable.
Bournemouth
Outlook. Andoni Iraola’s press and a goalkeeping upgrade lift the floor.
Key arrivals
- Djordje Petrovic (Chelsea)
- Adrien Truffert (Rennes)
Key departures
- Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)
- Milos Kerkez (Liverpool)
- Mark Travers (Everton)
- Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)
Why they matter. High energy, fast wingers and improved shot-stopping make them awkward for the elite.
Brentford
Outlook. Cash generated by sales is reinvested in typical Brentford fashion.
Key arrivals
- Antoni Milambo (Feyenoord)
- Michael Kayode (Fiorentina)
- Caoimhin Kelleher (Liverpool)
- Romelle Donovan (Birmingham)
- Jordan Henderson (Ajax) free
Key departures
- Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United)
- Christian Norgaard (Arsenal)
- Mark Flekken (Bayer Leverkusen)
Why they matter. Set plays and aerial power remain strengths. New legs in midfield lift control.
In press conferences, managers will often deflect questions about who will win the Premier League, aware of its impact on team morale.
Nottingham Forest
Outlook. Trimmed squad, more speed wide, and a direct threat in transition.
Key arrivals
- Dan Ndoye (Bologna)
- Jair Cunha (Botafogo)
- Igor Jesus (Botafogo)
- Angus Gunn (Norwich) free
Key departures
- Anthony Elanga (Newcastle United)
- Danilo (Botafogo)
- Ramon Sosa (Palmeiras)
Why they matter. Dangerous on the break. If the mid-block tightens, they rise a tier.
Everton
Outlook. A new midfield blend and a clearer plan with the ball.
Key arrivals
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Chelsea)
- Thierno Barry (Villarreal)
- Carlos Alcaraz (Flamengo)
- Adam Aznou (Bayern Munich)
- Mark Travers (Bournemouth)
Key departures
- Neal Maupay (Marseille)
- Asmir Begovic (Leicester) free
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin released
Why they matter. More progressive passing should raise chance quality. Mid-table is realistic.
Ultimately, only time will reveal who will win the Premier League, as teams continue to battle through the season.
With so much at stake, the anticipation of who will win the Premier League fuels excitement among fans and players alike.
As rival teams compete fiercely, the question remains: who will win the Premier League, and who will falter?
Fulham
Outlook. Structure remains sound, goals decide their ceiling.
Key arrival
- Benjamin Lecomte (Montpellier)
Selected departures
- Carlos Vinicius (Gremio) free
- Willian released
Why they matter. Hard to beat, need a hot streak from the forwards.
Leeds United
Outlook. Size through the spine and clear set-piece threats.
Key arrivals
- Anton Stach (Hoffenheim)
- Jaka Bijol (Udinese)
- Lucas Perri (Lyon)
- Sean Longstaff (Newcastle United)
- Gabriel Gudmundsson (Lille)
- Sebastiaan Bornauw (Wolfsburg)
- Lukas Nmecha (Wolfsburg) free
Selected departures
- Rasmus Kristensen (Eintracht Frankfurt)
- Junior Firpo (Real Betis) free
Why they matter. Set pieces and direct play keep them competitive in tight games.
Burnley
Outlook. Added experience and power across the pitch.
Key arrivals
- Lesley Ugochukwu (Chelsea)
- Armando Broja (Chelsea)
- Loum Tchaouna (Lazio)
- Bashir Humphreys (Chelsea)
- Marcus Edwards (Sporting)
- Zian Flemming (Millwall)
- Kyle Walker (Manchester City)
- Max Weiss (Karlsruhe)
- Jacob Bruun Larsen (Stuttgart)
- Jaidon Anthony (Bournemouth)
- Quilindschy Hartman (Feyenoord)
- Martin Dubravka (Newcastle United)
- Axel Tuanzebe (Ipswich) free
Key departures
- James Trafford (Manchester City)
- Nathan Redmond released
- Jonjo Shelvey released
Why they matter. Survival path is clear if they reduce big chances conceded.
Manchester United
Outlook. Ruben Amorim’s rebuild targets ball progression and goal threat. United have moved assertively for a new centre-forward.
Key arrivals
- Bryan Mbeumo (Brentford)
- Matheus Cunha (Wolves)
- Diego Leon (Cerro Porteno)
Selected departures
- Marcus Rashford (Barcelona) loan
- Christian Eriksen released
- Victor Lindelof released
Sesko latest. Benjamin Sesko is in Manchester for a medical after United agreed a deal in principle with RB Leipzig. The agreement is for an initial £66.3m plus £7.37m in performance-related add-ons on a five-year contract.
Why they matter. Pressing intensity should rise, but the new front line needs quick chemistry and a stable midfield behind it.
Tottenham Hotspur
Outlook. A difficult league season ended with European joy. Recruitment brings energy and ball-winning.
Key arrivals
- Mohammed Kudus (West Ham United)
- Mathys Tel (Bayern Munich)
- Kevin Danso (Lens)
- Luka Vuskovic (Hajduk Split)
- Kota Takai (Kawasaki Frontale)
- Joao Palhinha (Bayern Munich) loan
Key departures
- Son Heung-min (LAFC)
- Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (Marseille)
Why they matter. More ball recoveries and direct runners. Cut the errors and top six is realistic.
West Ham United
Outlook. A defensive rebuild is under way and the wide areas have been refreshed.
Key arrivals
- Jean-Clair Todibo (Nice)
- El Hadji Malick Diouf (Slavia Prague)
- Callum Wilson (Newcastle United) free
- Kyle Walker-Peters (Southampton) free
Key departures
- Mohammed Kudus (Tottenham Hotspur)
- Vladimir Coufal (Hoffenheim) free
- Lukasz Fabianski released
Why they matter. A safer back line first, then a search for goals. Consolidation year looks likely.
Wolves
Outlook. Upturn under Vitor Pereira, but major sales change the ceiling.
Key arrivals
- Jorgen Strand Larsen (Celta Vigo)
- Fer Lopez (Celta Vigo)
- Jhon Arias (Fluminense)
- David Moller Wolfe (AZ)
Key departures
- Matheus Cunha (Manchester United)
- Rayan Ait-Nouri (Manchester City)
Why they matter. Wider supply lines should boost chance creation, but replacing Cunha’s link play is hard.
Sunderland
Outlook. A bold window adds experience and running power.
Key arrivals
- Habib Diarra (Strasbourg)
- Simon Adingra (Brighton)
- Enzo Le Fee (Roma)
- Chemsdine Talbi (Club Brugge)
- Noah Sadiki (Union SG)
- Granit Xhaka (Bayer Leverkusen)
- Robin Roefs (NEC)
- Reinildo (Atletico Madrid) free
- Marc Guiu (Chelsea) loan
Key departures
- Jobe Bellingham (Borussia Dortmund)
- Tom Watson (Brighton)
Why they matter. Ambitious, but defensive learning curves at this level are steep.
So, who actually wins it?
Who Will Win the Premier League? Everything points to a four-team fight. Liverpool carry the clearest identity and have added creative thrust. Arsenal now possess a central finisher and a deeper midfield. City, with a healthier squad, remain a machine. Chelsea are talented and improving but must turn promise into week-to-week consistency.
If you want one answer to the headline question — Who will win the Premier League this season — the safest call is Liverpool by a narrow margin, with Arsenal the most credible threat and City close behind. Fitness in March and April may decide it more than fireworks in August.
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